VII. After the Peak: Decline, STEEP, and What Warren Made Room For (2006–2020)

This article is part of an ongoing series exploring the history of the Warren Township School District. Each installment examines a distinct era in the district’s development.

In September 2006, Warren celebrated the ribbon cutting for the long-anticipated Central School addition. It was a fitting image for the moment. After two decades of reopened schools, referendums, additions, and new programs, the district had again built itself for growth. That same year, enrollment reached 2,353 students, the highest point in Warren Township Schools history.

Then the trend turned again.

A Hard Fall After the Peak

The decline that followed was not minor. By 2010, enrollment had fallen to 2,216 students. By 2020, as COVID-19 arrived, the district reached a modern low of 1,492 students. In raw numbers, Warren had lost more than 850 students from its high-water mark—more than two elementary schools’ worth of children.

But decline did not make the work simple. State aid reductions, tax levy limits, rising costs, labor settlements, and public expectations all shaped the decade. Nor was decline evenly distributed. Some grades became smaller, while some buildings remained tight. In 2011 and 2012, Woodland School’s enrollment pressures led to questions about redistricting. In February 2012, the Board approved rezoning twenty-nine streets from Woodland to Central.

It was a limited adjustment, not a reorganization. But it revealed a familiar Warren problem: total enrollment could decline while local pressure remained very real.

STEEP and the Question No One Could Avoid

By 2015, the question had grown larger. If Warren had rebuilt a four-elementary-school system for growth, what should it do when that growth disappeared?

The Board created the Study to Examine Enrollment Project, known as STEEP. Its committees examined education, facilities, finance, and transportation. The study considered class size, programs, transitions, ride times, building use, preschool and kindergarten lavatories, special-area staffing, and community identity. The scope later expanded to include Warren Middle School because grade configuration and building capacity could not be separated.

STEEP was careful and public. It was also painful. For many families, closing or repurposing a school was more than an efficiency study. It raised questions about neighborhood identity, siblings, transitions, property values, taxes, and trust. Public commentary reflected that tension. Residents and staff spoke about small schools, sibling placement, transportation, class size, taxpayer burden, preschool revenue, projections, and whether the reasons for change were compelling enough. Others asked why change was needed if the schools were strong and the problem did not yet feel urgent.

The Decision to Hold the Structure

In April 2016, STEEP reached its decision point. After community feedback and additional enrollment data, Interim Superintendent Elizabeth Nastus recommended closing a school. The Board instead voted to maintain the district’s current configuration while supporting administrative efforts to optimize education delivery, facilities operations, finance, and transportation in light of STEEP’s findings.

That vote shaped the work awaiting the district’s next superintendent. Rather than closing or repurposing a building, the Board gave administration a different charge: find efficiencies within the existing model while identifying expanded program and instructional opportunities for students.

Closing a school, even temporarily, would likely have saved significant money. The Board’s decision did not deny that. It reflected a judgment about the moment. Given the enrollment projections, educational considerations, community values, transportation questions, and facility realities then available, the Board chose not to pursue structural efficiency through closure. It chose to maintain the system, improve operations within it, and use the flexibility created by declining enrollment to strengthen programs.

In practical terms, harder efficiency decisions were deferred until conditions changed again. If enrollment grew, the district would face a different version of the same challenge: how to preserve the student experience Warren had built while making room for more children.

Small Classes as a Community Line

One of the clearest values reaffirmed after STEEP was small class size. In 2017, the Board approved class-size guidelines: a maximum of twenty students in kindergarten, twenty-two in grades one through three, and twenty-four in grades four and five. Mostly, this reaffirmed identity; only grade two changed materially, from twenty-four to twenty-two.

The Board also approved consolidated bus routes in response to declining enrollment, adjusted the elementary specials schedule and Middle School master schedule, and approved unified arts staffing assignments that shared art and music teachers across schools. These steps lacked the drama of closing a building, but they showed the district adapting inside the structure it had chosen to maintain.

What Warren Made Room For

Lower enrollment and slower staffing growth created budget flexibility. Underused rooms created physical flexibility. The district used both to expand the student experience.

Preschool expansion moved forward. The district continued to strengthen its continuum of in-district special education programs, allowing more students to be served in Warren schools rather than out-of-district. Active learning spaces and reimagined classroom designs were piloted. Innovation and design spaces grew. At the Middle School, the district began work on a fitness and wellness room. These investments reflected a changing understanding of what school buildings were for.

A classroom was no longer just a homeroom. It could be a preschool room, special education program space, small-group instruction area, design lab, flexible learning commons, or wellness space.

These decisions were good for students. They made Warren’s schools richer, more responsive, and more modern. They also changed the baseline for future planning. By the end of the decade, capacity could no longer be measured by counting how many homerooms might fit into each building. The better question was how many students could be served while preserving the programs, services, early childhood classrooms, specialized placements, innovation areas, and wellness spaces the community had come to value.

The Next Growth Question Appears

Even while Warren was still managing decline, the next growth question was beginning to appear. In 2017, district leaders met with township officials about redevelopment sites, COAH obligations, and possible Payment in Lieu of Taxes agreements. That year, the Board created an Ad Hoc Committee on the Impact of Future Development. By 2018 and 2019, affordable housing, redevelopment, PILOT revenue, and potential school impact had become part of the Board’s work. Warren was smaller than it had been, but the next cycle was already visible.

Then COVID-19 arrived. It interrupted the district at its modern enrollment low, when space was more flexible, programs had expanded, and long-range planning was beginning again. In an unexpected way, decline helped Warren during the first year of the pandemic. When state health requirements made distancing central to reopening, lower enrollment and available space made it possible to adapt classrooms, schedules, and operations so students could return for the opening of the 2020–21 school year. The same space that had raised questions during STEEP became a practical advantage during COVID. The next chapter would ask: how would Warren recover from a pandemic while preparing for growth to return?

Community members with questions, feedback, or additional historical information are invited to contact the district at community@warrentboe.org.

Final installment: Part VIII — From COVID Recovery to Planning for Growth (2020-present)